BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Murray St
Class: 1B Class Rank: 68 Overall: (2-9) Overall Strength = 102.00
Conference: Missouri Valley Football Conference Record: (1-7) | District: 1B-01 Record: (2-7)
N Date Location C Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 09/02/2023 Home W 109.52 41 10 1B 122 ( 4- 7) Presbyterian 7.53 23.47
2 09/07/2023 Away L 91.16 0 56 1A 22 ( 10- 4) Louisville -10.84 * -45.16
3 09/16/2023 Away L 103.24 14 35 1A 105 ( 4- 8) Middle Tennessee St 1.25 -22.25
4 09/30/2023 Home W * 99.53 30 28 1B 73 ( 1- 10) Indiana St -2.46 4.46
5 10/07/2023 Away L * 95.76 7 38 1B 9 ( 10- 3) South Dakota -6.24 -24.76
6 10/14/2023 Home L * 103.85 6 27 1B 6 ( 8- 5) Southern Illinois 1.85 -22.85
7 10/21/2023 Away L * 118.43 24 28 1B 16 ( 4- 7) Missouri St 16.44 -20.44
8 10/28/2023 Away L * 104.73 6 38 1B 3 ( 11- 4) North Dakota St 2.74 * -34.74
9 11/04/2023 Home L * 105.01 31 45 1B 14 ( 7- 5) North Dakota 3.02 -17.02
10 11/11/2023 Away L * 86.34 7 44 1B 15 ( 6- 5) Illinois St -15.65 -21.35
11 11/18/2023 Home L * 104.36 17 34 1B 10 ( 8- 5) Youngstown St 2.37 -19.37
Averages 102.00 16.6 34.8
Best game: 118.43 = 4 point loss to Missouri St
Worst game: 86.34 = 37 point loss to Illinois St
Team stdev: 8.73